34 5 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1009 -83 Strength Momentum |
1018 57.0(19) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/22/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.001 | 799 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1064 | 74% | |
09/01/15 | Los Lunas ! | 0.010 | 1165 | W 4- 1 | Better (+4) | 1228 | 34% | |
09/02/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.014 | 985 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1038 | 56% | |
09/10/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.044 | 1387 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1107 | 11% | |
09/11/15 | at Cleveland | 0.054 | 1414 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1171 | 11% | |
09/12/15 | Mayfield ?? | 0.060 | 1051 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 971 | 47% | |
09/16/15 | at Highland | 0.099 | 845 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 987 | 69% | |
09/19/15 | at Bosque | 0.144 | 1317 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+2) | 1123 | 16% | |
09/22/15 | Taos !! | 0.198 | 1288 | W 4- 3 | Better (+4) | 1189 | 21% | |
09/24/15 | at Moriarty | 0.232 | 904 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1016 | 62% | |
09/26/15 | Del Norte | 0.129 | 784 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1191 | 79% | |
09/29/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.181 | 870 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+4) | 1202 | 67% | |
10/03/15 | at Rehoboth Christian | 0.376 | 694 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1012 | 82% | |
10/07/15 | at Sandia Prep ? | 0.530 | 1057 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-2) | 892 | 40% | |
10/10/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.422 | 694 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1094 | 85% | |
10/15/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.663 | 647 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 988 | 86% | |
10/16/15 | Bosque | 0.560 | 1317 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 952 | 18% | |
10/20/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.972 | 1057 | T 1- 1 | Better (0) | 1023 | 45% | |
10/22/15 | Bloomfield | 0.439 | 647 | W 9- 3 | Expected (+2) | 1123 | 88% | |
10/23/15 | at Farmington | 0.930 | 1173 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 1001 | 27% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Hope Christian actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1018, while
Hope Christian's "weighted playing strength" is 1027
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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